Tuesday, April 28, 2015

This Convention Is Simple

Ever have a partner try to get you to learn a new convention by telling you, “It’s easy. All you have to know is…”? Let me tell you, System Happy Stella is lying to you! If you are Stella, you either have a better memory than most, or, more likely, you haven’t thought through all the ramifications.

“Simple” Conventions

Let’s briefly look at some “simple” conventions that you are probably familiar with.

Takeout Double

What could be simpler? You’ve got the other 3 suits. But are you sure you are on the same page as your partner. Could you have a side doubleton? What does it show if you bid a new suit after doubling? What does NOT doubling mean? What does it mean if your partner bids 1NT? 2NT? Jumps a level? Jumps 2 levels? Bids the opponent’s suit? Is it still a takeout double if the opponents opened at the 3 level? What about the 4 level? What about 4?

Are you confident your regular partner(s) would give the same answers to all those questions as you do? What about that pick-up partner you are playing with tomorrow?

Stayman

This has to be simple, right? Maybe. Are you allowed to pass your partner’s response? What does it mean to rebid a new suit over partner's response? What if you jump in a new suit? What if you bid 4NT? What if the opponents double the 2♣ bid? What if the opponents bid a new suit?

Blackwood

This is the first convention a lot of people learn, because it is fun and so simple. Just count your aces. What about voids, what do you do with them? What do you do if the opponents interfere over the 4NT ask?  And are you always sure that you know when 4NT is asking for aces vs. invitational vs. a place to play? Based on a recent article in the ACBL Bridge Bulletin, not even experts are in agreement to that last question, so it isn’t as easy as it looks.

Our Story

This came up because William and I recently came across a convention that we both thought would be helpful, easy to remember, and not take away any already useful bids: “XYZ”. The real short version is that if your side has made 3 bids at the 1 level, with neither of you passing (e.g. 1x - 1y; 1z - ?), 2 and 2 as the fourth bid are now artificial. 2 shows an invitational hand and 2 shows a game forcing hand.

What could be simpler?

I won’t bore you with all the questions and complications we had, but the questions I raised for the above conventions should give you an idea. William and I started exchanging emails asking about different scenarios, and proposing meanings. Each proposal brought up more questions and each email was longer than the last. We tried asking almighty Google for guidance, but different sites contradicted each other and just raised more questions. Pretty soon we were both ready to throw in the towel.

Except it really looks useful.

That is the siren’s song of new conventions. Wouldn’t it be useful to be able to do <x>? What the Stella’s of the world don’t see is the possible confusions that the convention could add and the places where you get a horrible result because you and your partner were on different pages as to what a bid meant.

What we eventually decided to do was to add XYZ to our system, but as simply as possible. It’s not on in competition. All non-XYZ bids (i.e. not 2♣ or 2) mean what they used to mean (except they're not forcing). I’m not suggesting this as a good treatment. As a matter of fact, I think it is less than ideal, but it has the advantage that it is simple enough that we are likely to not get confused. As we get more comfortable with it and see how it comes up in real games, we’ll try adding in the subtleties that will make it more powerful. Or maybe we’ll drop it because we hate it.

The important fact is that William and I have discussed many permutations and have some hope that we’ll be on the same page when the convention comes up.

Tuesday, April 21, 2015

A Simple Hold-Up

Dealer:  North
Vul: N-S
Betty
96
A85
A9
AQT953
Charlie
Q74
KQJ763
Q83
8
Irene
T85
T4
T652
K642
William
AKJ32
92
KJ74
J7
South West North East
William Charlie Betty Irene


1♣ Pass
1♠ Pass 2♣ Pass
3NT All Pass
Opening Lead:  K
Drats!  Charlie found the correct red suit to lead.  I had hoped that by bidding straight to 3NT, I might keep him in the dark on what to lead.


On the initial survey of the hand, I saw just 6 top tricks, so I needed to promote some tricks. There were finessing possibilities in every suit; if they all won, I could get 6 clubs, 3 or 4 diamonds, a heart, and 3 or more spades. I could get all the tricks! However, I also considered what would happen if any of my myriad finesses might fail.  If the spade or diamond finesses lost, Charlie would gain the lead and would undoubtedly lead more hearts.  If the club finesse lost, Irene would be on lead and would also lead another heart...unless she didn’t have any more to lead.


To attempt to keep Irene from leading hearts, I played low to Charlie's first two heart leads.  On the third, I was gratified to learn that my patience had paid off when I saw Irene discard a low diamond. This meant Charlie had started 6 hearts (a little unexpected, given their quality, that he hadn't bid them), enough that he could set my 3NT contract were he allowed to take them. I won the A and crossed to my hand in spades, not taking the finesse.  I led the J, and it ran into Irene's king.  Success! Irene, depleted of hearts, led back a spade, but my king won, and I was able to claim the remaining tricks. Seeing that Charlie had started with both the Q and the Q made the hold-up all the more important.

Sometimes you're unlucky enough to have 3 of 3 finesses offside (about a 12% chance). However, sometimes careful planning and the willingness to lose tricks early can overcome that bad luck.

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Look For Extra Chances

Dealer:  South
Vul: None
Betty
AQ862
743
32
A75
Freddie
KJ953
J95
JT964
-
Charlie
7
KQT62
Q875
T93
Annie
T4
A8
AK
KQJ8642
South West North East
Annie Freddie Betty Charlie
1♣ Double 1♠ Pass
3♣ Double 4♣ Pass
6♣ All Pass
Opening Lead: ♠ 5
I kibitzed this hand in a recent casual game. While there are a number of things that could be discussed here, I want to discuss how Annie played the hand. Put yourself in her shoes. How would you play this hand in 6♣, given the lead of the ♠5?

She played it the way a lot of players I've seen would have played it. After thinking about the opening lead for a little bit she said, "Well, let's find out right away if we make." She played the ♠Q. When the finesse worked, she breathed a sigh of relief, drew trump, and claimed all the tricks except for the 8, which she conceded.

But what if the finesse had failed? What if Charlie had had the ♠K? She probably would have chalked it up to bad luck and moved on. However, there are ways that she can make, even if Charlie has the ♠K. I'm not sure this is the best way, but here is a simple way Annie could have improved her odds.

At trick 1 she could have played low from dummy and played the ♠10 from her hand. If Charlie had had the ♠K, that would have been ok. After drawing trump, Annie could throw away her heart loser on Betty's good ♠A and ♠Q. What if Charlie had had the ♠J, rather than the king? It looks like Annie would now be losing a trick she didn't need to. This is true, but Annie could still finesse the ♠Q later and, when it works, use the ♠A to throw away her 8. It's only when Charlie had both the ♠K and ♠J that Annie gets set.  That is, by playing this way she would have had two ways to make rather than one.

And, as the cards lie, Annie would have been doubly rewarded. Her ♠10 would win, and then she could still finesse the ♠Q, thereby winning 3 spade tricks and using the extra spade to throw away her heart loser. Then she would have won all 13 tricks for an overtrick.

The moral of the story, if you can find it: it is better try a play that gives you multiple chances.

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Too Focused

Dealer:  South
Vul: E-W
Michael
KQ932
J73
J85
52
Molly
J76
KQ2
KT4
QT76
Eddie
8
865
9632
AJ984
William
AT54
AT94
AQ7
K3
South West North East
William Molly Michael Eddie
1NT Pass 2 Pass
3♠1 Pass 4♠ All Pass
3♠1 = Super-accept
Opening Lead: ♣ 6
At the 2015 Charlottesville regional, I ended up in 4♠ on this hand.

Clearly there’s a club to lose, so my goal was to avoid losing 3 red-suit tricks. If the diamond finesse is onside, this is no problem, but if not, then I had to pick up hearts for just one loser. I knew that missing heart honors being split would help me accomplish that, so I set my sights on that line. After Eddie won the opening club, I won his club continuation and drew trump, ending on the board. I ran the J, and Molly won the king. She sighed and thought for a bit before continuing with another club, which gave me the chance for a ruff and sluff. As I had put my faith in the second heart finesse, I ruffed the club in dummy (pitching a diamond in hand) and finessed the 10. Molly won again and exited with her last heart. This gave me a fourth heart trick, but I still had 2 diamonds in each hand, so I was forced to take the diamond finesse after all. It lost, and I was down.
After the hand, my partner, Michael, pointed out that the 9 gave me a 100% percent play on the third club lead. If I pitch a diamond from dummy instead of my hand, I can play the 10, losing to the queen no matter where it is, but the 9 is promoted to a winner for my other diamond loser in dummy.
I had gotten so caught up in my original line of counting on the heart honors to split, that I didn’t consider the additional option presented to me by the ruff and sluff. While changing strategies for no reason is usually a losing proposition, changing because of new information can often be the winning play.